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By zachariah· 2,808 words

ResearchEvidenceQuestion

uber stock prediction by 2030?

Evidence(8)

  1. Waymo and Uber expand their partnership

    [8]

    Waymo announced an expanded arrangement for autonomous rides in Austin and Atlanta. Uber would handle fleet services including cleaning, repairs and depot operations, while Waymo would operate the driving system. The split shows why robotaxi distribution is not a cost-free referral business.

  2. Uber reports stronger 2025 bookings and profit

    [1]

    Uber reported $193.454 billion in full-year 2025 gross bookings and $8.730 billion in adjusted EBITDA, up from $162.773 billion and $6.484 billion in 2024. The results establish the historical scale underlying the 2030 operating scenarios; these figures describe 2025 performance, not activity on the release date.

  3. Waymo reports more than half a million weekly trips

    [13]

    Waymo said its service was providing more than 500,000 trips per week across 10 U.S. cities. This establishes meaningful commercial AV scale, without establishing how much Uber demand those rides displaced.

  4. Uber–Waymo Phoenix partnership ends

    [9]

    Reuters reported that vehicles from the Phoenix pilot had returned to Waymo’s fleet and were available through Waymo’s own app. The completed change provides a concrete example of a robotaxi provider distributing rides directly.

  5. Uber reports notice of a planned Waymo direct-app launch

    [10]

    Uber said Waymo had notified it of an intention to offer its own app alongside Uber in Austin and Atlanta in January 2028. The notice raises a distribution risk; the proposed launch is not an event that had already occurred.

  6. Uber reports Q2 growth and describes AV capital exposure

    [6][11]

    Uber reported 3.867 billion trips and $58.022 billion in gross bookings for Q2 2026. In prepared remarks, management said it expected to commit more than $10 billion over coming years across AV equity investments, infrastructure and vehicle offtake. Growth supports the operating case, while the prospective commitments complicate the cash-return case; they are not spending already completed.

  7. September account puts Waymo’s fleet at roughly 4,000 vehicles

    [14]

    A reported account described approximately 500,000 paid rides per week and roughly 4,000 Waymo vehicles. It offers a scale check for the AV risk, not a measured rate of displacement of Uber rides.

  8. Uber closes at the forecast’s verified reference price

    [3]

    Uber’s corroborated closing price was $69.22. It is the dated benchmark for the article’s end-2030 return calculations; conflicting September 25 price records were not used.

Sources

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